In the analysis of March 27, 2025, the title, where Bitcoin is next time? A signal hidden in real -time figures, “Truflation highlights a recurring event: every time its inflation index has experienced a clear downtrend whether to stop or reversal, bitcoin has moved to quickly.
Where is bitcoin ahead?
Troplasome Research Indicate for a background of size by After Kovid -19When the central banks fulfill the interest rates around the world almost zero and the liquidity in the economy. In 2021, a duration of easy money with bitcoin run was overlap with a run of bitcoin. By 2022 and 2023, however, consistent inflation caught, indicated US Federal Reserve to reverse courseIncreased interest rate and quantitative tightening became primary tools to fight price pressure, clearly a target to bring consumer price inflation to 2%with the Federal Reserve.
According to the truflation report, the reading of real -time inflation decreased by 2% in June 2023. The official Consumer Price Index (CPI), published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, dropped the pattern at 3% in July 2023, about one and a half months later. Instead, it oscillates between the high and lower boundaries, performing a cyclical pattern of disintegration that will then stabilize the stable or reverse course. Truflation now assumes that each of these cyclic “divine points” is closely related to the price of bitcoin in the price of bitcoin.
The report refers to four different periods from September 2023 to September 2025 when the index of trucks moves downwards and then either flattened or rebound. In each of those cases, the price of bitcoin soon increased. Truflation suggests that a fifth such incident may now come to light: inflation index fell continuously in the beginning of 2025, 1.30% – a level was not seen in several months – before rebounding up to 1.80%. This condition reminds of previous disintegration trough, which presides over a new wave of buying bitcoins, based on the data of trucks.
“When the trend of disintegration of trucks stops or reversed, Bitcoin rally after a short time. This pattern has already repeated some time – and if history is sung, it may soon come out once again,” said in the analysis.
The underlying cause, Truflation explains, the bitcoin visible nature revolves around its sensitivity to the change. LiquidityStrong disintegration usually inspires speculation that the federal reserves may be increased rates and may soon be dowish. While steep and incredible disintegration may trigger the possibility of recession, a recession or break in the tendency of that disintegration often assures markets that the economy is not slipping into an economic recession.
it “Soft landing” landscape Risk-changes enhances the feeling. Traders and investors believe that inflation is enough to delay excess tightening – or to accelerate rate cuts – often the channel to their optimism in property like bitcoin.
The report admits that any piece of data, including trucks, trades widely as a complete dominance on an asset and bitcoin. However, it emphasizes that apart from Crypto, real -time inflation hopes affect equity, goods and foreign exchange trading in global markets. By estimating changes in those expectations, some investors can find themselves ahead of the curve when they are official. CPI report And confirmation or contradiction of the Central Bank’s pronunciation at the end.
“Truflation does not affect bitcoin in a vacuum. No data sources ever. But the expectations of inflation are in a wide range of markets – from equity to commodities – and especially in bond yields and foreign exchange markets,” is the conclusion of analysis.
At the press time, BTC traded at $ 84,461.
Image made with Dall.E, chart from traudingview.com
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